Does Berlin Disprove Broken Windows?
As I mentioned in my feature on crime in Washington, D.C., the “Broken Windows” theory – that signs of social disorder foster a sense of lawlessness and lead to crimes, even violent crimes – has become widely accepted by policymakers across the political spectrum. Even people who would not consider themselves Broken Windows advocates, or law-and-order types more generally, support policies that operate from the same premise, such as anti-loitering laws and the jailing of minor miscreants, such as graffiti writers and pot smokers.
I am just old enough to remember the time when jumping a subway turn style or catching a tag would get you a warning, not even a ticket, in New York City. The Giuliani era, with the Mayor’s ardent belief in Broken Windows (remember the squeegee men?) changed all of that, and crime fell dramatically. But was it the enforcement of so-called “quality of life crimes,” that led the murder rate to fall? Or was it some immeasurable combination of longer prison sentences keeping criminals off the street, demographic shifts led by the legalization of abortion, the waning of the crack epidemic, and other police tactics such as the implementation of the Comp Stat crime tracking system?
Increasingly, criminologists are challenging Broken Windows’ hegemonic grasp on urban public policy. My travels in Europe have convinced me, once a Broken Windows believer, that it is largely a lot of hokum. Let the pot dealers return to Washington Square Park, the graffiti sit indefinitely on the mailboxes, the hookers wander Times Square, and I’m not at all sure you’d see an increase in violent crime as a result.
Berlin, Germany, a city of 3.4 million, is rife with symbols of social disorder. Sitting at a bar’s outdoor table you’re liable to smell hash wafting over from the table next to you, and to be offered it while walking through some of the city’s parks. Prostitution is legal. If there are any open container laws, they are completely unenforced. Beer is drunk openly on the streets and the metro.
And yet there is very little crime. I walked fearlessly in the middle of the night through a park where, by day, drug dealers conduct business in plain view and parents with small children wander by. Foreign journalists who have been living in edgy, diverse neighborhoods for years have not only not been mugged, they do not even know people who have been mugged. According to the Overseas Security Advisory Council, “American tourists visiting Germany are rarely the victims of criminal activity. If and when criminal activity does occur, the most common incidents include theft of unattended personal property, vehicle break-ins (snatch and grab), pickpockets (often in major train stations), and residential break-ins.” How is this possible? Is it because of a strong economy? No—due to the legacy of communism and partition, Berlin is poor by the standards of Germany and suffers from high unemployment.
A survey of long-time Berlin residents from the U.S. elicited two plausible explanations with policy implications for America: gun control and social welfare. Germany has strict regulations on gun ownership. Without a gun, after all, it is much more difficult to commit an armed robbery or murder. But it’s not impossible. While I’m sympathetic to gun control, I’ve been the victim of crimes, including violent crimes, with no gun involved. If poor Berliners wanted to stick up tourists they could use knives.
So, if there are opportunities to commit crimes, it must be that Berlin simply does not have many people who wish to commit crimes. Perhaps that is because in Germany unemployment does not mean what it does in the United States. Unemployed Germans receive health insurance, housing and welfare from the government. No one in Germany needs to steal to eat.
Many of the same things could be said for Copenhagen, Denmark, (population 1.2 million).
Having been to Amsterdam before, I did not realize until now that rather than being an outlier, Holland is simply at the extreme end of a continuum. Northern Europe generally has a tolerant attitude towards victimless crimes. That may create some opportunities for petty crimes, such as pick-pocketing. I have traveled widely in Europe, but Amsterdam and Copenhagen are two of the very fez cities where I’ve ever felt remotely unsafe. In Copenhagen my hotel’s street was lined with aggressive drug dealers and prostitutes, and I was hassled by one very drunk, or high, man.
But, to hear Danes tell it, aside from property crime, almost the entire city, including the neighborhood where I stayed, is quite safe. A 30-year-old Danish man told me, “we have no violence, no hard drugs, just lots of pot.” Danish reporters who lived in the area said that, despite their home having been burglarized, they feel safe everywhere except for Norreboro, a gentrifying working-class immigrant neighborhood. A spate of shootings, believed to be related to the drug trade, took place in Norreboro recently.
Even some of the immigrants blame other immigrants for what crime there is. Michael, a graduate student in social work from Pakistan, told me that the crime in Copenhagen was generally isolated in Norrebro. When asked why it was there, he said, “there are many foreigners.”
To be sure, in a recent survey, the residents of Copenhagen were more likely to report being a victim of a crime in the last five years than the median Western European capital. But even the cities that placed ahead of it, such as Lisbon and Madrid, are not known for their strict law and order culture either.
One luxury building in Kreuzberg, the unassumingly hip enclave where my friend lives, did have a night time security guard standing on the corner. So there is crime after all! “His job sucks,’ my friend remarked. “He just has to stand there and make sure no one writes graffiti on the building.”
Reporting for this article was made possible by a grant from the German Marshall Fund.
Ben Adler joins Next American City as an Urban Leaders Fellow based in Washington, D.C. He will be focusing on Washington and the role of the federal government in urban policy. Ben covered the 2008 election and Congress as a staff writer for Politico. Prior to joining Politico Ben was the editor of CampusProgress.org, a daily online political and cultural magazine at the Center for American Progress, a regular contributor to The American Prospect Online and its award-winning blog, TAPPED, and a reporter-researcher at The New Republic. His writing has also appeared in Newsweek, The Washington Monthly, In These Times, The Nation and the websites of The Guardian and The Atlantic among other publications.


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Guide Budapest in Hungary on Sun, Sep 06, 2009 at 7:40pm
I live in Budapest, Hungary. I meet a lot of foreign people and nobody I know of or have heard of has been victim of crime here either. The most expensive tourist traps are striptease bars where clients are taken by taxi drivers or girls from the street.
Mike on Fri, Sep 18, 2009 at 2:03am
Just because “broken windows” is useless in a low-crime city doesn’t mean it won’t work in a high-crime city. Perhaps in the United States, people’s consciences (or whatever keeps them from violent barrier) are so weak that even slight indicia of neighborhood decay will cause them to melt away to a greater extent than in Europe. (As to why this might be ... suffice it to say that there is no end of theories).
Steve on Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 11:22am
USA <> Europe
Robin in Bethlehem PA on Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 12:19pm
Where are the facts in this article? If you want to debunk a well documented theory on how to reduce violent crime then you better have something better than anecdotes and conjecture. What are the numbers? How are we quantifying violent crime and how are we quantifying “order” and “disorder.” For instance, allowing sanctioned prostitution can be quite “orderly” compared to as you say allowing the sale of illegal drugs in Washington Square.
Marisa in Oakland on Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 2:26pm
I have to agree with Robin. I think the idea behind this article is provacative and interesting, but ultimately it’s not an informative piece of journalism. Actually, these are anecdotes any tourist could pick up from hanging out in a bus station.
This article is more informative about popular attitudes towards living in an “edgy” neighborhood.
graham in philadelphia, pa on Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 11:10pm
This guy’s an idiot. This article contains almost no verifiable facts, does not come to any valid conclusion, and is a complete waste of time. Marisa was absolutely correct in saying that these anecdotes could come from any idiot tourist in a bus station.
“Let the pot dealers return to Washington Square Park, the graffiti sit indefinitely on the mailboxes, the hookers wander Times Square, and I’m not at all sure you’d see an increase in violent crime as a result.”
The sheer stupidity behind this statement is almost mind-blowing.
Marinette on Thu, Sep 24, 2009 at 3:02pm
The name of the theory - “broken windows” - implies some physical manifestation of petty crime, not just the ephemeral fragrance of pot in the air. Note that the Copenhagen security person was there to prevent just such physical signs of lawlessness - graffiti.
Sarah on Sat, Sep 26, 2009 at 11:20pm
Wow, I hope this article is not indicative of the direction of Next American City editorial writing - I could barely hang on to the logic throughout the piece. Opinion pieces are much better when they are grounded in facts…
Jeremy in Portland on Tue, Sep 29, 2009 at 9:49pm
Can’t really add anything to the criticism here, and can only agree that:
- he needs to give some data that supports his idea; and
- that just because Broken Windows is questionable in Berlin demonstrates NOTHING about Broken Windows in the United States - strong emphasis on nothing. Does culture mean nothing to Mr. Adler?
Having been a public safety policy advisor for the mayor of a major US city, I’d love to see a compelling reason to toss Broken Windows. In fact, I even looked for one, and applying common sense to research means comparing apples to apples. I could only find data in the US that suggested Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design (CPTED) standards, which includes resolving Broken Windows issues, reduces crime.
Freddie in Berlin on Sat, Oct 10, 2009 at 4:00pm
I think he has a point. If you leave things broklen, they will turn even worse…same thing with grafitti.
Sunny on Sun, Oct 18, 2009 at 12:23am
The title of the article is eye catching, the story is attractive and the reality seems arguable. I have been in Berlin in 2006 and witnessed graffiti at almost all over the train route.There were so much ordinary and artistic graffiti in Berlin buildings that they could be perceived as regular design/fabric of the city by the residents. However, most U.S cities are so well kept out of desolation under the social control of the police and civil institutions that any type of graffiti may be considered as sign of desolate areas. Additionally, some may want to interpret the broken windows as only legacy of the tough policing strategy, they may be missing a big part of the authors insights, from my point of view.
Thanks for the article and commends
michael isla in the beach on Tue, Oct 20, 2009 at 12:22am
Prostitution only goes so far if the community lets it because it is noticible in the streets, but when money comes along and it affect home prices then they act. creating organize carnivals to get rid of it and then they realize public officials are involve then they have to create a window for they to get away. because the idea of a corruppt city really changes it image.
michael isla in the beach on Tue, Oct 20, 2009 at 12:31am
a city has an image to protect so the whole community gets involve see click fix report prostitution. and many people go to that web site. even prostittutes have web connection.